Details

Programming for Peace


Programming for Peace

Computer-Aided Methods for International Conflict Resolution and Prevention
Advances in Group Decision and Negotiation, Band 2

von: Robert Trappl

213,99 €

Verlag: Springer
Format: PDF
Veröffentl.: 08.03.2006
ISBN/EAN: 9781402043901
Sprache: englisch
Anzahl Seiten: 464

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Beschreibungen

<P>Sadly enough, war, conflicts and terrorism appear to stay with us in the 21st century. But what is our outlook on new methods for preventing and ending them? Present-day hard- and software enables the development of large crisis, conflict, and conflict management databases with many variables, sometimes with automated updates, statistical analyses of a high complexity, elaborate simulation models, and even interactive uses of these databases.</P>
<P>In this book, these methods are presented, further developed, and applied in relation to the main issue: the resolution and prevention of intra- and international conflicts. Conflicts are a worldwide phenomenon. Therefore, internationally leading researchers from the USA, Austria, Canada, Germany, New Zealand and Switzerland have contributed. </P>
I.- I.- Conflict Resolution by Democracies and Dictatorships: Are Democracies Better in Resolving Conflicts?.- Trade Liberalization and Political Instability in Developing Countries.- Computer Assisted Early Warning – the FAST Example.- Country Indicators for Foreign Policy Developing an Indicators-Based User Friendly Risk Assessment and Early Warning Capability.- The Confman.2002 Data Set Developing Cases and Indices of Conflict Management to Predict Conflict Resolution.- II.- II.- Events, Patterns, and Analysis Forecasting International Conflict in the Twenty-First Century.- Forecasting Conflict in the Balkans using Hidden Markov Models.- Neural Computation for International Conflict Management.- Modeling International Negotiation Statistical and Machine Learning Approaches.- Machine Learning Methods for Better Understanding, Resolving, and Preventing International Conflicts.- III.- III.- New Methods for Conflict Data.- Information, Power, and War.- Modeling Effects of Emotion and Personality on Political Decision-Making.- Peacemaker 2020 A System for Global Conflict Analysis and Resolution; A Work of Fiction and A Research Challenge.
<P>Sadly enough, war, conflicts and terrorism appear to stay with us in the 21st century. But what is our outlook on new methods for preventing and ending them? Present-day hard- and software enables the development of large crisis, conflict, and conflict management databases with many variables, sometimes with automated updates, statistical analyses of a high complexity, elaborate simulation models, and even interactive uses of these databases.</P>
<P>In this book, these methods are presented, further developed, and applied in relation to the main issue: the resolution and prevention of intra- and international conflicts. Conflicts are a worldwide phenomenon. Therefore, internationally leading researchers from the USA, Austria, Canada, Germany, New Zealand and Switzerland have contributed. </P>
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<P>This book is for students and scientists in international relations and political sciences, and decision makers or their advisers in national and international bodies, both governmental and non-governmental. </P>
Focusing on one important topic: the resolution and prevention of intra- and international conflicts The presentation, further development, application, and results of advanced computer-aided methods for this purpose, including interactive methods for supporting decision makers Internationally leading researchers not only from the USA but also from Austria, Canada, Germany, New Zealand, and Switzerland